The record
Every prediction.
Every loss.
Brier score on the 1,077 settled matches with a bookmaker price since 8 July 2026. Lower is better.
Even our best model is closer to guessing than to the Bookies. Not good enough yet, and that stays on the page.
Our modelson the same matches
| Model | Score | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| The Bookies | 0.5976 | 1,077 |
| Jackson | 0.6334 | 1,061 |
| Avenger | 0.6336 | 1,043 |
| Alix | 0.6340 | 812 |
| Kestrel | 0.6500 | 653 |
| Guessing the average | 0.6500 | 1,077 |
Data v Gutpicks right
BOOKIE BASHER
63.2%12 of 19 - thin sample
COUPON CRUSHER
64.0%16 of 25 - thin sample
Latest resultsJackson's most likely outcome
San Diego v Philadelphia Unionright · 0-5Mon 14 Sep · Jackson: Philadelphia Union win 37%
Vancouver Whitecaps v Austinwrong · 1-2Sun 13 Sep · Jackson: Vancouver Whitecaps win 55%
Chicago Fire v New England Revolutionwrong · 1-2Sun 13 Sep · Jackson: Chicago Fire win 46%
Famalicao v Sporting CPwrong · 1-1Sun 13 Sep · Jackson: Sporting CP win 47%
Real Sociedad v Atletico Madridright · 0-3Sun 13 Sep · Jackson: Atletico Madrid win 38%
Sassuolo v Juventuswrong · 3-2Sun 13 Sep · Jackson: Juventus win 37%
Stade Brestois 29 v Paris Saint Germainright · 0-1Sun 13 Sep · Jackson: Paris Saint Germain win 47%
Panathinaikos v Panetolikosright · 3-0Sun 13 Sep · Jackson: Panathinaikos win 54%
Kifisia v Levadiakoswrong · 0-0Sun 13 Sep · Jackson: Kifisia win 38%
PAOK v Aris Thessalonikisright · 2-0Sun 13 Sep · Jackson: PAOK win 56%
PSV Eindhoven v Sparta Rotterdamright · 4-1Sun 13 Sep · Jackson: PSV Eindhoven win 63%
Fredrikstad v Sarpsborg 08 FFwrong · 1-1Sun 13 Sep · Jackson: Fredrikstad win 44%